Werewolf: Speakeasy III: Day Five

September 1, 2018 in Uncategorized | by spookymilk

After a decent start, the village was starting to have a rough go of things. Absence was starting to loom large, and the pile of innocent was gaining by the day.

In strode a confident manly-man, The Dread Pirate. “I’m back from the State Fair. I heard my skills were needed!”

It was late, though. The village was asleep and the wolves ate him whole.

~~Inkarnit~~ (Day One, Angel Face, slick out-of-towner)
~~codefox~~ (Night One, villager, too sick for a memorable death)
~~daneekasghost~~ (Day Two, Red Devil, cornered by superdelegates)
~~MelissaD~~ (Night Two, Green Eyes, forgot to look for wolves again)
~~Warhammer~~ (Day Three, villager, distracted in the car)
~~meat~~ (Night Three, villager, inflammable means flammable?!)
~~nettiebarron~~ (Day Four, villager, protested too little)
~~The Dread Pirate~~ (Night Four, villager, State Fair was too much fun)
ash10101
beezypoof
BigPapaJonTheElf
Colin Prime
mbnovak
todahshy

NIGHT will be called at 9pm on Sunday. If we finish quickly, we’ll see what’s what if a wolf is killed.

With the numbers 4-2, the village must be successful here or it’s over. No pressure!

Your competition, and also you

HALL OF CHAMPIONS

SPOOKYMILK SURVIVOR

I: Rachel “The Double-Dealer” Flynn

II: Ryan “The Snake” Fossum

III: Patrick “The Gentleman” Kozicky

IV: Brienne “The Submitter” Maner

V: Rusty “The Porn Star” Greene

VI: Brooks “The Unlikely Hero” Maki

VII: William “The Soulful” Schuth

VIII: Brooks “The Survivor” Maki

IX: Zack “The Ice Cream Man” Sauvageau

X: Pete “The Vacuum Cleaner” Bruzek

Turbo: Brooks “The 1956-1979 Montreal Canadiens” Maki

XI: Matt “The Cold-Hearted Motherf*&^er” Novak

All-Stars (XII): Andy “The Quiet Man” Rustleund

XIII: Sarah “Clarence’s Hope” Bizek

XIV: Dan “The Professional” Kautz

XV: Christina “Assault And” Pepper

XVI: Matt “The First-Time Player” Novak

XVII: Stacy “Saintly Patience” Snell

XVIII: Brian “Checkmate” David

XIX: Annette “Eammon for the Top” Barron

XX: Daniel “Neville “Smash “Hardware” Hardwood” Longbottom” Caouette

XXI: Pete “The Comeback Kid” Bruzek

XXII: Dan “The Even More Professional” Kautz

XXIII: Melissa “Don’t You (Forget About Me)” David

XXIV: Stacy “Fucking” Snell

GODS AND MORTALS
I: Dragging Rivet’s Name Through the Mud One Last Time: Matt Novak (Ultragrandpa) and Michael Rivet (Friph Flipher-Fiph)
II: Bahambo Number 5: Pete “Triple Crown” Bruzek and Michelle “Single Tiara…So Far” Pratt

BIG BROTHER
I: Brooks “Oh, for the Love of God” Maki
II: Michael “#DDB” Rivet
III: Pete “Fortune’s Fool” Bruzek
IV: Erin “All Seven and We’ll Watch Them Fall” Leslie
V: Jake “Littlefinger” Elliott

FALL, CAESAR
2014: Brooks “The Creator” Maki
2015: Matt “The Artist” Novak
2016: Matt “Waited Them Out” Novak
2017: Annette “I Would’ve Voted for You” Barron

THE ROYAL RUMBLE
2013: #21 Greg “The Gallant Glutton of Greatness” Johnson
2014: #29 Jonathon “Big Papa” Pope
2015: #8 Christina “Am I in This?” Pepper
2016: #22 Annette “No Backs Stabbed” Barron
2017: #30 Bernice “The Vulture” Nicaise
2018: #17 Carrie “Solid Gold” Bard
2019: #16 Jake “The Jabroni” Elliott

PLAY WITH THE PROSE
(Writing, non-elimination)
I: Sarah “Centipede Face” Johnson
II: Sarah “The Johnson Eliminator” Wreisner
III: Colin “Lonely Old Moon” Woolston
IV: Melissa “Not Sidebar Material” Diamond
V: Sama “No Family Reunions” Smith
VI: Sarah “Tumor Face” Wreisner
VII: John “Cult Following” Wreisner
VIII: Joshua “Peed the Bed” Longman
VIII: Annette “Oh, Right, That’s Who Won” Barron

WEREWOLF (most recent)

Werewolf Stats Spreadsheet

PUZZLE CHALLENGE
I (Pure): Matthew “The Obsessor” Gilman
I (Power): Kelly “The Novak-Destroyer” Wells

DIPLOMACY
I: Matt “Exploiter of Worlds” Novak (France)

374 comments

Comments feed for this article

September 1, 2018 at 10:54 am

Colin Prime

not really surprised no one is here yet. This is a bummer of a game. I’m kind of glad the week has kept me busy or I’d be freaking out over this.
Regardless DP left us with a good amount to go over and explore, and at this point voting patterns over the days will have a ton of info.
I’m not super optimistic but if we take it slow and use the time we have to think it through we could pull this off.
I’ll have way more time tomorrow than today, and have the tools I need to go over the days.
For now , I’ll be out of pocket until this afternoon.

September 1, 2018 at 12:03 pm

beezypoof

yeah, this friggin’ sucks, y’all. i felt so damn sure about Nettie yesterday.

and now…i just think, man, todah? he was a big Nettie pusher yesterday, but so was DP, who was a villager. and so was i, and i’m also a villager.

now i’m concerned about Ash, too, and Pope. and still Novak. ugh. and Colin. So…all of you, i guess. frick.

September 1, 2018 at 12:05 pm

beezypoof

though, Colin, if you are a villager, your presence may have left this a less frustrating game, cuz we’d have more/better analysis from you. and i need help from experienced and successful players.

September 1, 2018 at 1:30 pm

Colin Prime

I’d love to be able to be around more, but the house and job take priority so… I’ll take the heat though. As frustrating as it’s been I get that I could be more helpful if I had the time. I mostly got rankled by Novak harping on that point over and over which is why I keep seeing wolf in him.

September 1, 2018 at 5:48 pm

beezypoof

Oh, i didn’t mean that you aren’t legitimately busy, or that this should at all be a priority. I was just responding to what you’d said about it being so frustrating that you’re glad you’ve been busy. ZERO criticism from me.

September 1, 2018 at 11:04 am

ash10101

This might be the least active werewolf game ever. I’m gonna go back and read yesterday

September 1, 2018 at 12:06 pm

beezypoof

i’m eventually gonna have to go back and read it all again. continue my spreadsheets, perhaps, though i want NOTHING to do with that. i just…damn. i want this to be over. i’ve never played werewolf where it’s lasted this many days. but probably cuz i’ve never played with this many players before.

September 1, 2018 at 12:18 pm

BigPapaJonTheElf

Ugh. When Annette turned out to be clean, my next target Was Dread Pirate for leading us down that path. Since it turns out he’s clean, it’s back to the drawing board. I’ll be reading through later this afternoon/evening, hopefully with a beer in hand. DP dropped a lot of analysis yesterday, there should be some useful nuggets in it.

September 1, 2018 at 12:30 pm

beezypoof

me too, about Annette. which is the same that makes me think todah is wolf, on account of he was pushing her, too. and hard. but…we’ve found that that’s been a thing we keep leaning on when making kills, and we haven’t yet been right. i think it’s gotta be Novak or Colin. like…one or the other. though i’m hard pressed to tell anyone why i think that. maybe cuz Novak’s been on him this game. but…man. although…i almost just want us to be wrong so this game can end.

September 1, 2018 at 12:24 pm

beezypoof

there’s so little to go on!

September 1, 2018 at 12:49 pm

ash10101

Yeah this is getting hard. I feel like we’ve killed off everyone who provided us wth like, actual information

September 1, 2018 at 12:52 pm

ash10101

That or the wolves have eaten them. I need to go look at the earlier days again.

September 1, 2018 at 2:07 pm

mbnovak

Super fast check in… My availability is crap. Colin and Todah are my top two. I have pushed both (as opposed to first war hammer, and then what ended up being Nettie yesterday) and neither has gotten traction. That’s weird. Let’s get pressure there.

vote Colin prime

September 1, 2018 at 5:49 pm

beezypoof

Todah got traction. It was him or Nettie yesterday.

September 1, 2018 at 6:53 pm

mbnovak

Ok. I was just reading up, not a live participant, so I don’t have the same feel for it.

There was also a comment from Todah about how he didn’t like the “sudden” pressure I put on him, despite the fact that it wasn’t really sudden, since I’d talked about him a little bit and it had been growing for a while. That one stuck out to me, like he was trying to make me a target more than he was defending himself.

September 1, 2018 at 5:55 pm

beezypoof

I say we vote Novak or Colin. Which way should we go, if you had to choose one or the other.

Btw, Novak is 83% clean from Melissa’s peek, for those who are persuaded by that.

September 1, 2018 at 6:32 pm

Colin Prime

75% to be true. Which are ok odds in a vacuum, but given that Mind Eraser shows as villager the actual odds of him being a villager at this point seem a lot lower.
Regardless, it’s enough to give pause.

I have a different way I’d rather vote but I don’t have my case together yet. We only have one shot so I’d like to think it through.

September 1, 2018 at 6:56 pm

mbnovak

For whatever it’s worth, I should appear clean for other reasons too. First, my play helped out DG and find us our first wolf. Second, each day since then I’ve proposed a target that hasn’t gotten traction, and we’ve lunged at villagers instead. Indeed, that next day I didn’t even want to vote for Warhammer and only changed my vote to him out of self-preservation. That is to say, you know I haven’t been in on the villager votes. It’s not proof of villagerness, on its own, but obviously when coupled with the peek, that’s about as strong as it gets.

September 1, 2018 at 9:16 pm

Colin Prime

I have considered this, and I stuck on you yesterday because I hadn’t spent any time thinking.
My hang up is that you’re not coming in with anything new, and your rush to put a vote down when we have two whole days to think about it is very wolfy.

If you’re a villager and are going to hunt, would you look at beezy’s game? I’m going to go over the voting patterns tonight to see if anything stands out.
Beezy coming in today with all the throwing her hands in the air and shrugs all around and let’s get this over with attitude is super, extra duper wolfy to me. I know she hasn’t been very available but there’s enough interaction to find something to clear her if there is anything.

September 1, 2018 at 10:33 pm

beezypoof

i’m throwing my hands in the air because i’ve been wrong over and over, which makes me feel shitty, and because this thing is literally affect my life negatively. i’m so brain exhausted and eye exhausted from all this time on the screen, and we’re failing so heavily. it’s too hard for me anymore. i just want it to be done.

i think your “other way of voting” means you want to vote for me. if you do, the game will be over, which is what i want. so if that’s the way people want to go, i’ll gladly vote with you. without hesitation.

September 1, 2018 at 10:39 pm

beezypoof

also, i’ve been available. i wasn’t here day 1. but since then, i have been here. i am here, and i’ve been here.

September 1, 2018 at 6:58 pm

mbnovak

One thing that bothers me a little is that Pope was left alive instead of DPWY yesterday, since Pope was the extra-time kill of DG. That said, I still see him as a less-likely candidate than Todah or Colin, for that same reason.

Todah’s being wrong on Melissa (and his occasional defenses of Colin as surly Colin) bother me, but that’s still not as strong as my straight-read of Colin being a wolf, which is why I’m there.

September 1, 2018 at 9:43 pm

Colin Prime

Hold on, your straight read of me? The only thing you have brought up is that I’ve not been around much, which has been explained over and over again.
The vote on DG should be more than enough to clear me. If I were a wolf there’s no way I’d bus DG that late in the day when Melissa already had enough votes on her. My vote on DG was the second to last, which put us into overtime. No way in hell do I do that as I wolf. It would be the dumbest wolf play ever.

It’s absolutely ludicrous that you’re ignoring this fact. No way does villager Novak ignore that.

It’s equally ludicrous that you keep calling yourself confirmed villager because you got peeked. Everyone in the game knows Mind Eraser shows up villager to the seer, and the percentages are absolutely meaningless. Your play on day 1 was super wolfy. Your entrances each day have been super wolfy. Your rush to put a vote down today was super wolfy. Your insistence on voting me over and over while throwing little suspicions around with nothing to back them up is ultra wolfy.

And yet somehow the fact that I’ve been busy is enough for you to rush in today with a vote on me.

Look, I really want to take my time and think this through, but your making it really hard with this nonsense.

September 1, 2018 at 10:37 pm

beezypoof

i hadn’t thought about this, Colin. the way the DG vote went, and how that says villager about you. and, yes, it is surprising that Novak didn’t notice that, if he’s a villager. i’ve said i suspect Novak since day 2 (and prolly only cuz i wasn’t around day 1). i’m open to this vote.

September 1, 2018 at 10:39 pm

Colin Prime

That’s great but I’m not thinking about voting yet. I’ve been on Novak all game after I saw his day 1 and his entrance on day 2, but I don’t want that to get in the way of analysis. There’s only one chance left.

September 1, 2018 at 10:40 pm

beezypoof

all i’m saying is i agree on this. i didn’t go vote him, i’m just saying it helps me to lean away from you. i feel like one of you is a wolf, and now i feel far more like it’s him. that’s all. relax, sunshine.

September 1, 2018 at 10:04 pm

BigPapaJonTheElf

They killed DPWY because they see him as a greater threat than me. I’d be insulted, but here’s the thing: he was a greater threat than me.

September 1, 2018 at 10:37 pm

Colin Prime

You can throw some solid analysis out, why not?

September 1, 2018 at 10:45 pm

beezypoof

he really hasn’t been, though.

September 1, 2018 at 10:44 pm

BigPapaJonTheElf

There’s a solid case to be made that Novak is Mind Eraser. But every time I try, I see something that would be dumb to do if he was a wolf. Like flipping on his opinion on drinks on day 2. Someone tell me why Novak-as-wolf would do that? Why would he even offer an opinion on drinks at all if he were a wolf?

September 1, 2018 at 10:49 pm

beezypoof

isn’t that part of the theory that the wolves planned that a bit to try to out the seer? they’d already killed the Angel (how did they know who the Angel was, anyway?), and then, if they got the seer, we’d have no one left to offer us extra information from overnight peeks. this is actually possible.

September 1, 2018 at 11:14 pm

BigPapaJonTheElf

They got lucky on the Angel. I haven’t seen anything that makes me doubt that. Inkarnit is just a bullet catcher.

OK, but if Novak is a wolf, I wouldn’t doubt that his whole song and dance about having been served two drinks was part of a plan that the wolves cooked up, but the part earlier where he says that we should all refuse drinks makes no sense to me in that scenario.

OK, so pretend Novak is Mind Eraser. The wolves might have worked out in advance what time they were serving drinks, or decided amongst themselves that they weren’t going to serve any drinks. Since the Angel is dead, they know that if any of them are served a drink, it’s the Seer. And when it’s Novak-as-Mind Eraser who receives it, it’s the best case scenario. Novak knows that the Seer has served him a drink, and he know as extra cover he can claim to have been served a second drink. A second drink would have to have been a wolf serving it. Novak knows the Seer will clear him, and he can claim that a wolf wouldn’t waste a drink on another wolf! It’s neat and tidy and now that we’re down to 6 I really like it as an explanation. Except… WTF was that thing about not accepting drinks earlier? Was it just to muddy the water?

Even more inexplicably than that, WHY DID MELISSA SERVE A DRINK TO NOVAK AFTER HE SAID WE SHOULDN’T ACCEPT DRINKS? I know there was a weird time delay with notifications, but it still seems like she sent it after. I dunno, maybe she got it in just before, or maybe she hadn’t read that far when she realized she needed to send a drink, or maybe she was testing him for some reason.

September 1, 2018 at 11:21 pm

BigPapaJonTheElf

Speaking of which, that was my problem with this as a conspiracy theory to begin with. It seems to start with the theory that they are hoping to draw out the seer, but Novak’s first statement should have had the opposite effect.

September 1, 2018 at 11:28 pm

mbnovak

If I’m not mistaken, Melissa did say she hadn’t read that far yet, and since she missed serving a drink on day 1, she wanted to make sure she got it in.

I’d also add that none of us had any idea that Melissa had missed her day 1 drink. If that crazy wolf plan had been in place I would have first been encouraging her not to send a drink (like you point out), and then subsequently encouraging her to come out not just with herself as clean but with a second clean villager too (because at most one of us could have been the mind eraser…), and then sacrificing DG in the process? That’s just too complex, and with far too little upside.

September 1, 2018 at 10:55 pm

BigPapaJonTheElf

Yesterday, Todah’s top three wolf list was Ash, Colin, and Nettie. Two of those three were on my Probably A Villager list, and the third (Nettie) I had started to believe was a villager. Todah goes hard at Novak, then removes him from his list entirely.

September 1, 2018 at 11:21 pm

mbnovak

I think Todah is a very likely option too. I’d also point out that he’s done some defense of Colin Prime (“this seems like surly villager Colin”, etc.) that would make the two of them make sense together.

September 1, 2018 at 11:20 pm

mbnovak

Alright, I’m gonna drop this here re: Colin.

First, he keeps deflecting my points as mere absence. But my point has never been simply that he isn’t around. My point has always been that his game itself is different. That his posts lack the specificity he usually has as a villager. That there are fewer quick short posts and comments too. That is a stylistic different that I’m pointing out, not just a “lack of posts” difference. He keeps saying I’m just talking about availability, but this is so much more than that.

Second, he’s arguing that if I were a villager I would probably notice certain things, for example, the ultimate bussing of DG. But I haven’t indicated that I’m ignoring it. Indeed, earlier in the game I specifically said I thought both Colin Prime and DPWY would bus DG in that situation. So I did address it. But, just to remind everyone, I think Colin Prime would bus DG there. His vote for DG wasn’t the final nail in the coffin. At 8:57 Warhammer flipped to Melissa, making it 6-4, Melissa. At 8:58 Colin went to DG. At 8:59 meat went to DG. That tied it up. Wolf Colin throws that vote at DG at that point because it might be safe, and if it isn’t, he’s got the credibility now. And, here’s the really big point… Colin wasn’t busing DG at all. It was merely a vote. At 7:34 he puts up a post wherein he focuses more on me and Melissa than he does DG. That’s not bussing, that’s deflecting for the wolf.
(see here: https://spookymilk.wordpress.com/2018/08/29/werewolf-speakeasy-iii-day-two/#comment-88340)

And at 8:54 he’s still deciding between the two (https://spookymilk.wordpress.com/2018/08/29/werewolf-speakeasy-iii-day-two/#comment-88427). So again, not really throwing DG under the bus. All-in-all, he threw out a vote, nothing more.

Anyway, I’m as confident now as I was before that Colin is a wolf. Even his argument against it isn’t the great stuff he’s been doing for the village, or how he’s been hunting, it’s that I seem wolfy in accusing him. That’s wolf material, straight up.

Yeah. I feel good about this.

Also, if I were wrong, don’t you think at least one other wolf would have put down a vote here too, to encourage things along?

September 1, 2018 at 11:26 pm

BigPapaJonTheElf

On the other hand, I’m very sympathetic to his claims of being too busy to really participate due to unforeseen circumstances. Plus – phones, man. I hate playing on my phone, to the point that I won’t do it. Phone werewolf is bullshit.

September 1, 2018 at 11:31 pm

mbnovak

I hate playing on my iPad too (I don’t have a smart phone…), but that’s never completely stopped Colin before. And the actual content of his posts is completely not throwing DG under the bus. That has nothing to do with the phone, since he’s going after me and Melissa somewhat. It has everything to do with him being in DG’s corner until he casts that late, non-decisive vote. Now he’s trying to tell us that was bussing DG, but that kind of retconning shouldn’t be something we allow him to get away with.

September 2, 2018 at 10:09 am

Colin Prime

You’re 3000% ignoring what I actually said and shaping to fit your view of me as a wolf. Stop twisting my damn words.
I said, actually, that I put the second to last vote on DG, not “the nail in the coffin.” I said the I put a vote on DG when Melissa was already the majority. I put a vote on a wolf to put him closer to majority when a villager already had majority. If I were a wolf that would be insanely stupid. There’s no way you can dispute that, and the fact that you’re twisting it to fit your idea of me as a wolf is infuriatingly obtuse.

Just dismissing my evidence presented against you and then changing up your game against me now is about as wolfy as you can get. I’m at a complete loss as to how to continue doing objective analysis when all you’re brining to the table is the same flimsy crap that you’ve brought every. Single. Day.
That is textbook wolf play.
All you’ve said against me is that I haven’t been around and that the content of my posts hasn’t been solid analysis. How am I supposed to do solid analysis from my phone?

I tried reading you as villager. Really tried. But this is just such obvious bullshit. Instead of pulling back and working through the game you’re just going for a villager kill to end it.
I spent two hours reading through last night and put up a, albeit drunken, comprehensive post of what I saw and drew an alternative conclusion. All you’re bringing in is the same tired argument. “ it’s colin but I could go toadah if I had to.”

As far as I’m concerned, right now, you’re overplaying your hand and cementing in my mind as a wolf, which really pisses me off cause I actually have time to play and work through the game today.

September 1, 2018 at 11:29 pm

BigPapaJonTheElf

Alright, I’m picking this up in the morning. I have to say, on gut instinct alone, Todah is my top wolf pick. I’m going to try to find something better than my gut tomorrow.

September 1, 2018 at 11:34 pm

mbnovak

I’m feeling Todah too, just not quite as strong as Colin. That’s why I dropped my vote on Colin and left it there – I’m away from my computer most of the weekend, so wasn’t sure when I’d get back and needed to put the vote down in the place I was most confident with. I’ve got to keep mine on Colin, because I’m not going to be around until late Sunday, if at all before the deadline, and I’m pretty sure about this one.

September 1, 2018 at 11:35 pm

mbnovak

Ash, Beezy. I feel pretty good about the two of you being villagers. I’m hoping you two can look at what I posted above regarding Colin. I’m appealing to you, since I think appealing to Todah is probably silly, since I think he’s probably the other wolf. Pope still being alive has been eating at me today, but I’m mostly on board with him being a villager too. Anyway, hopefully I’m not the only one seeing this stuff.

Todah, if I’m wrong about you, you’ve gotta see what I’m saying about Colin now, right?

September 2, 2018 at 6:52 am

ash10101

Hmmm ok. I’m hopefully around more today so I’ll have to go read back on colin later.

September 1, 2018 at 11:37 pm

BigPapaJonTheElf

One more thing I’m sure of – Novak and Beezy are not a wolf team. That was cemented for me when Beezy told Novak “I get to decide how I feel.” That response smacked of genuine irritation and real reproach, which I wouldn’t expect from a wolf pair. On the off chance that I’m wrong, though, bravo Beezy. I would never have expected that from a wolf.

September 2, 2018 at 1:40 am

Colin Prime

First note: I got a nice lol re-reading DP’s first post with a lovely nibs tribute. Then I got a yuge lol reading DG’s first post. He tells the whole village that he’s a wolf in that post. that guy. seriously.

ok. I read through each day watching voting and then read through again watching each player. I’ll list interesting voting and then summarize each player. *edit – I’m fairly drunk at this point, which is just barely getting through day 1 of writing this. its very late and my wife is getting pissed. I should be unpacking boxes but I regret not being around more early in this game. and I like reading and drinking beer. I’m going to post what I have for now and pick it up tomorrow.

voting:
first is the noon update on day 1:

ash10101
beezypoof
BigPapaJonTheElf (1) voting for daneekasghost
codefox voting for daneekasghost
Colin Prime
daneekasghost (4) voting for todahshy
The Dread Pirate
Inkarnit (1) voting for daneekasghost
mbnovak (1)
meat voting for mbnovak
MelissaD voting for BigPapaJonTheElf
nettiebarron voting for todahshy
todahshy (2) voting for Inkarnit
Warhammer voting for daneekasghost

lots of folks on the wolf. those not on the wolf at this point are most suspect, obviously. I’ll remove confirmed villagers. remaining are:
ash
beez
colin
toadah
novak
BPJTE – he comments just below to inform the mod that he is actually voting Ink, but “looking askance at (dg)”

so basically everyone playing right now.

3:17 voting day 1:
ash10101 (1)
beezypoof
BigPapaJonTheElf (1) voting for ash10101
codefox voting for todahshy
Colin Prime
daneekasghost (1) voting for todahshy
The Dread Pirate voting for todahshy
Inkarnit voting for mbnovak
mbnovak (3) voting for meat
meat (1) voting for mbnovak
MelissaD voting for BigPapaJonTheElf
nettiebarron voting for todahshy
todahshy (4) voting for mbnovak
Warhammer voting for daneekasghost

of the remaining, ash, beez and I still haven’t voted (I never showed that day so I’ll leave that alone for the rest of the posts).
of note, BPTJE moved to ash, though heat is on toadah at the moment. this is typical wolf play to stay away from wagons on day 1. it’s also day 1 so not really anything to go on.

note: codefox’s day 1 is the most villagery day 1 I’ve seen in a while.

later in the evening:
ash10101 voting for colin prime
beezypoof
BigPapaJonTheElf (1) voting for Nettiebarron
codefox voting for nettiebaron
Colin Prime (1)
daneekasghost voting for nettiebarron
The Dread Pirate voting for Warhammer
Inkarnit voting for nettiebarron
mbnovak voting for warhammer
meat voting for mbnovak
MelissaD (1) voting for BigPapaJonTheElf
nettiebarron (6) voting for MelissaD
todahshy voting for nettiebarron
Warhammer (2) voting for nettiebarron

pile on nettie, mostly led by novak, who then switched to warhammer when the vote got close to majority.
ash and beezy avoiding the villager vote? toadah piling on?

https://spookymilk.wordpress.com/2018/08/28/werewolf-speakeasy-iii-day-one/#comment-87857 this feels a lot like a wolf setting up villager cred.

note: melissa says the most villagery thing ever on day 1: https://spookymilk.wordpress.com/2018/08/28/werewolf-speakeasy-iii-day-one/#comment-87857

16 minutes to go:
ash10101 voting for Colin Prime
beezypoof voting for MelissaD
BigPapaJonTheElf voting for nettiebarron
codefox voting for nettiebarron
Colin Prime (1)
daneekasghost voting for nettiebarron
The Dread Pirate voting for Inkarnit
Inkarnit (3) voting for nettiebarron
mbnovak (1) voting for Inkarnit
meat voting for mbnovak
MelissaD (2) voting for Inkarnit
nettiebarron (6) voting for MelissaD
todahshy voting for nettiebarron
Warhammer voting for nettiebarron

still a pile on nettie.

two minutes to go, and the novak-led Ink train is in full swing:

ash10101 voting for Colin Prime
beezypoof voting for MelissaD
BigPapaJonTheElf voting for nettiebarron
codefox voting for Inkarnit
Colin Prime (1)
daneekasghost voting for Inkarnit
The Dread Pirate voting for Inkarnit
Inkarnit (5) voting for nettiebarron
mbnovak (1) voting for Inkarnit
meat voting for mbnovak
MelissaD (2) voting for Inkarnit
nettiebarron (4) voting for MelissaD
todahshy voting for nettiebarron
Warhammer voting for nettiebarron

of note: ash hasn’t moved his vote. he’s been sitting on this vote all day almost. yet he’s around to respond.

https://spookymilk.wordpress.com/2018/08/28/werewolf-speakeasy-iii-day-one/#comment-87950 Beezy puts the kill vote on Ink.

Werewolf: Speakeasy III: Day One

Ash votes elsewhere. this is very damning.

Toadah: day 1 – this says it all: https://spookymilk.wordpress.com/2018/08/28/werewolf-speakeasy-iii-day-one/#comment-87620 huge slip. this post clearly states that he has knowledge that code is a villager. blam. and this: https://spookymilk.wordpress.com/2018/08/28/werewolf-speakeasy-iii-day-one/#comment-87767 pretty textbook wolf throwing suspicion about without solid grounds.

Novak – day 1 banter is light, non substantial. I read this at the time to be wolfy. With a more objective read it just looks like day 1 fun. novak on drinks day 1: https://spookymilk.wordpress.com/2018/08/28/werewolf-speakeasy-iii-day-one/#comment-87720
this one is a very villagery thing to say: https://spookymilk.wordpress.com/2018/08/28/werewolf-speakeasy-iii-day-one/#comment-87750
that said, he led the charge on Ink with a pretty flimsy reason.

Beez – first post announces inability to be around. and that’s about it for day 1. Beezy’s whole game could be read as a wolf, or just a busy and not committed villager. given this, if she’s a wolf she’s not caring at all about it, which is not like her.

BPJTE – I have no idea. not enough to go on from day 1.

Colin – I know I’m a villager but whatever.

Ash – his day one reads like most of his games day 1: looks like a wolf. i say this because 90% of his posts are responses, and when asked by inkarnit for a list of his top three suspects, he minges his way through a noncommittal ramble that vaguely mentions three players. Inkarnit weirdly states this makes him a villager. His end of day one vote on a villager that got earlier heat, while not piling on the wagon to kill another villager is very, very damning.

at this point I’m leaning toadah and ash as the remaining wolves, with the rest – in order of most suspicious to least: novak, BPTJE, beez.

September 2, 2018 at 11:10 am

beezypoof

why would wolf Novak switch the vote from Nettie to Inkarnit, both of whom are villagers, unless he knows Inkarnit’s Angel role? and it’s been said that there’s no way he could have known.

if DG sent a drink to Inkarnit…well, inkarnit would be smart enough, as the angel, to refuse the drink, right? but if he took it…no, why would he take it?

so then i’m back to: why would Novak change the vote to Inkarnit if it’s already on Nettie, and his wolf self knows she’s a villager? i mean, what’s the point of that?

September 2, 2018 at 8:31 pm

beezypoof

anybody? damn, no one responds to anything i say.

September 2, 2018 at 8:37 pm

mbnovak

I think this is a good point!

September 2, 2018 at 12:04 pm

ash10101

Your theory is that because I look the same as always on day one I’m a wolf? That seems to be stretching pretty hardm

September 2, 2018 at 7:48 am

mbnovak

A follow up thought I had this morning… A villager Colin wouldn’t complain about my vote on him being wolfy, he would be panicked about it because if I was a villager (which he wouldn’t know for 100%, obviously) it would take just one more villager vote to give the wolves the win. Villagers should be panicked about votes on them, and doing whatever to convince people to remove those votes, not just using it as ammo to shoot at other targets.

Alright, I’m probably afk until evening tonight, possibly later. Go village.

September 2, 2018 at 10:15 am

Colin Prime

You’re just repeating what I said but in a way that fits your narrative.
Throwing a vote down without hesitation on potentially the last day is extremely wolfy. Villager Novak thinks it through. Wolf Novak goes for the easiest and most consistent target and hopes two villagers get on board so the other wolf can make a kill.

Also ignoring my analysis completely is extremely damning. You’re not engaging with me at all, but appealing to the village at large, also very wolfy.

Dude, if I’m wrong about this I will have 0 regrets because your play positively reeks of wolf.

	mbnovak on Taciturnsville 2: Day 5
	punmanbowler on Taciturnsville 2: Day 5
	adobery on Taciturnsville 2: Day 5
	todahshy on Taciturnsville 2: Day 5
	mbnovak on Taciturnsville 2: Day 5
	The Dread Pirate on Taciturnsville 2: Day 5
	spookymilk on Taciturnsville 2: Day 5
	beezypoof on Taciturnsville 2: Day 5
	beezypoof on Taciturnsville 2: Day 5
	adobery on Taciturnsville 2: Day 5
	codefox on Taciturnsville 2: Day 5
	MelissaD on Taciturnsville 2: Day 5
	spookymilk on Taciturnsville 2: Day 5
	Beau on Taciturnsville 2: Day 5
	BigPapaJonTheElf on Taciturnsville 2: Day 5

Werewolf: Speakeasy III: Day Five

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